Republican incumbent Addison McDowell faces Democrat Cyril Jefferson in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with an independent also on the ballot. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index after recent redistricting, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Jefferson narrowly won the Democratic contest; both candidates have focused fundraising and messaging on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus on candidate outcomes remains evenly split, yet probabilities concentrate on Republican margins between 12 and 18 points, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling that shows no major shifts. Late-cycle developments such as turnout differentials, third-party vote share, or unexpected national events could narrow or widen the final spread within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRepublican 15-18% 22%
Republican 18%+ 18%
Republican 12-15% 17%
Republican 0-3% 13.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 18%+
18%
Republican 15-18%
22%
Republican 12-15%
17%
Republican 9-12%
11%
Republican 6-9%
12%
Republican 3-6%
13%
Republican 0-3%
13%
Democrat 0-3%
2%
Democrat 3-6%
1%
Democrat 6%+
1%
Republican 15-18% 22%
Republican 18%+ 18%
Republican 12-15% 17%
Republican 0-3% 13.5%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 18%+
$59 Vol.
18%
Republican 15-18%
$315 Vol.
22%
Republican 12-15%
$706 Vol.
17%
Republican 9-12%
$272 Vol.
11%
Republican 6-9%
$73 Vol.
12%
Republican 3-6%
$136 Vol.
13%
Republican 0-3%
$64 Vol.
13%
Democrat 0-3%
$128 Vol.
2%
Democrat 3-6%
$232 Vol.
1%
Democrat 6%+
$112 Vol.
1%
The 2026 NC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican incumbent Addison McDowell faces Democrat Cyril Jefferson in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with an independent also on the ballot. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index after recent redistricting, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Jefferson narrowly won the Democratic contest; both candidates have focused fundraising and messaging on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus on candidate outcomes remains evenly split, yet probabilities concentrate on Republican margins between 12 and 18 points, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling that shows no major shifts. Late-cycle developments such as turnout differentials, third-party vote share, or unexpected national events could narrow or widen the final spread within the resolution window.
The 2026 NC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,098শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 1:53 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican incumbent Addison McDowell faces Democrat Cyril Jefferson in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with an independent also on the ballot. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index after recent redistricting, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Jefferson narrowly won the Democratic contest; both candidates have focused fundraising and messaging on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus on candidate outcomes remains evenly split, yet probabilities concentrate on Republican margins between 12 and 18 points, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling that shows no major shifts. Late-cycle developments such as turnout differentials, third-party vote share, or unexpected national events could narrow or widen the final spread within the resolution window.
The 2026 NC-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$2,098শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 1:53 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Republican incumbent Addison McDowell faces Democrat Cyril Jefferson in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with an independent also on the ballot. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index after recent redistricting, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. McDowell advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Jefferson narrowly won the Democratic contest; both candidates have focused fundraising and messaging on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus on candidate outcomes remains evenly split, yet probabilities concentrate on Republican margins between 12 and 18 points, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and limited recent polling that shows no major shifts. Late-cycle developments such as turnout differentials, third-party vote share, or unexpected national events could narrow or widen the final spread within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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