Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests, the open-seat dynamics following Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, and unified party support after Alme secured the GOP nomination with strong backing. Multiple polls through early September show Alme leading a three-way field by double digits, typically in the high 30s to low 40s percent range ahead of independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose candidacies split non-Republican voters. Forecasters rate the contest solid or likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and polling trends, though outcomes could shift if Bodnar consolidates broader support or unforeseen events alter turnout patterns before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,349 Vol.
$118,349 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Independent
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
1%
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Independent 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,349 Vol.
$118,349 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$59,671 Vol.
91%
Independent
$18,015 Vol.
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$40,664 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests, the open-seat dynamics following Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, and unified party support after Alme secured the GOP nomination with strong backing. Multiple polls through early September show Alme leading a three-way field by double digits, typically in the high 30s to low 40s percent range ahead of independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose candidacies split non-Republican voters. Forecasters rate the contest solid or likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and polling trends, though outcomes could shift if Bodnar consolidates broader support or unforeseen events alter turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$118,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests, the open-seat dynamics following Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, and unified party support after Alme secured the GOP nomination with strong backing. Multiple polls through early September show Alme leading a three-way field by double digits, typically in the high 30s to low 40s percent range ahead of independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose candidacies split non-Republican voters. Forecasters rate the contest solid or likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and polling trends, though outcomes could shift if Bodnar consolidates broader support or unforeseen events alter turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$118,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean in federal contests, the open-seat dynamics following Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, and unified party support after Alme secured the GOP nomination with strong backing. Multiple polls through early September show Alme leading a three-way field by double digits, typically in the high 30s to low 40s percent range ahead of independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead, whose candidacies split non-Republican voters. Forecasters rate the contest solid or likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and polling trends, though outcomes could shift if Bodnar consolidates broader support or unforeseen events alter turnout patterns before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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