Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, including strong 2024 statewide results, combined with Moody’s primary victory backed by party leadership and substantial fundraising, underpins trader consensus around her high probability. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Democrat Angie Nixon, who secured her nomination in an August primary upset but trails in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Nixon’s progressive platform and lower resources highlight structural challenges. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$110,594 Vol.
$110,594 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,594 Vol.
$110,594 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,134 Vol.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,461 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, including strong 2024 statewide results, combined with Moody’s primary victory backed by party leadership and substantial fundraising, underpins trader consensus around her high probability. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Democrat Angie Nixon, who secured her nomination in an August primary upset but trails in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Nixon’s progressive platform and lower resources highlight structural challenges. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$110,594মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, including strong 2024 statewide results, combined with Moody’s primary victory backed by party leadership and substantial fundraising, underpins trader consensus around her high probability. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Democrat Angie Nixon, who secured her nomination in an August primary upset but trails in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Nixon’s progressive platform and lower resources highlight structural challenges. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$110,594মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term. Florida’s consistent Republican tilt, including strong 2024 statewide results, combined with Moody’s primary victory backed by party leadership and substantial fundraising, underpins trader consensus around her high probability. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points against Democrat Angie Nixon, who secured her nomination in an August primary upset but trails in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Nixon’s progressive platform and lower resources highlight structural challenges. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp national economic shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current fundamentals limit those prospects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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