**Nathalie Roy holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the Montarville seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** As the long-serving Coalition avenir Québec incumbent since 2012 and former National Assembly president, she benefits from established name recognition and a riding history favoring her party, with 2022 results showing strong CAQ support that recent projections continue to reflect. Jean-François Cloutier, the Parti québécois candidate and former investigative journalist, provides the main opposition but trails in implied probabilities consistent with narrower provincial PQ positioning. Other candidates, including Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois, register minimal market interest. The September 7 forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 show CAQ ahead locally, reinforcing the current consensus ahead of the final nomination deadline on September 17 and the short campaign period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNathalie Roy 76%
Jean-François Cloutier 26%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%

Nathalie Roy
76%

Jean-François Cloutier
26%

Mathieu Lavoie
1%

Ginette Langlois
1%
Nathalie Roy 76%
Jean-François Cloutier 26%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%

Nathalie Roy
76%

Jean-François Cloutier
26%

Mathieu Lavoie
1%

Ginette Langlois
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Nathalie Roy holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the Montarville seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election.** As the long-serving Coalition avenir Québec incumbent since 2012 and former National Assembly president, she benefits from established name recognition and a riding history favoring her party, with 2022 results showing strong CAQ support that recent projections continue to reflect. Jean-François Cloutier, the Parti québécois candidate and former investigative journalist, provides the main opposition but trails in implied probabilities consistent with narrower provincial PQ positioning. Other candidates, including Liberal Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois, register minimal market interest. The September 7 forecasts from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 show CAQ ahead locally, reinforcing the current consensus ahead of the final nomination deadline on September 17 and the short campaign period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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