Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$25,175 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
73%
Below 4.45%
60%
Below 4.40%
43%
Below 4.35%
35%
Below 4.30%
34%
Below 4.25%
19%
Below 4.20%
11%
Below 4.10%
12%
Below 4.00%
9%
$25,175 Vol.
Below 4.50%
$1,495 Vol.
73%
Below 4.45%
$2,866 Vol.
60%
Below 4.40%
$1,886 Vol.
43%
Below 4.35%
$3,226 Vol.
35%
Below 4.30%
$2,601 Vol.
34%
Below 4.25%
$834 Vol.
19%
Below 4.20%
$3,973 Vol.
11%
Below 4.10%
$6,694 Vol.
12%
Below 4.00%
$1,600 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,175শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$25,175শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed tightening anchors the outlook for 5-year Treasury yields. On September 16, 2026, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00 percent, citing resilient growth, solid productivity, and persistently elevated inflation; the median SEP now projects 4.1 percent for both 2026 and 2027. August CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year with core at 2.4 percent, while the 5-year yield closed near 4.86 percent after climbing on the hawkish shift. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines through year-end, with the next CPI release on October 14 and subsequent FOMC meetings serving as key catalysts that could either reinforce or ease rate expectations and Treasury supply pressures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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