The 30-year Treasury yield recently traded near 5.33% amid expectations for a higher-for-longer federal funds rate following the Fed’s September 2026 quarter-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range under Chair Warsh. Hawkish SEP projections, resilient growth, and sticky inflation have lifted the market-implied rate path, widening term premia as heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing and fiscal deficits. Elevated real yields reflect both policy uncertainty and structural supply pressures, limiting near-term downside despite potential cooling in labor data or energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift trader consensus on the low before year-end 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$14,287 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Below 5.20%
61%
Below 5.15%
56%
Below 5.10%
43%
Below 5.05%
38%
Below 5.00%
30%
Below 4.95%
27%
Below 4.90%
19%
Below 4.80%
14%
Below 4.60%
3%
$14,287 Vol.
Below 5.20%
$1,512 Vol.
61%
Below 5.15%
$775 Vol.
56%
Below 5.10%
$1,843 Vol.
43%
Below 5.05%
$234 Vol.
38%
Below 5.00%
$1,930 Vol.
30%
Below 4.95%
$561 Vol.
27%
Below 4.90%
$1,158 Vol.
19%
Below 4.80%
$3,100 Vol.
14%
Below 4.60%
$3,173 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield recently traded near 5.33% amid expectations for a higher-for-longer federal funds rate following the Fed’s September 2026 quarter-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range under Chair Warsh. Hawkish SEP projections, resilient growth, and sticky inflation have lifted the market-implied rate path, widening term premia as heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing and fiscal deficits. Elevated real yields reflect both policy uncertainty and structural supply pressures, limiting near-term downside despite potential cooling in labor data or energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift trader consensus on the low before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,287শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield recently traded near 5.33% amid expectations for a higher-for-longer federal funds rate following the Fed’s September 2026 quarter-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range under Chair Warsh. Hawkish SEP projections, resilient growth, and sticky inflation have lifted the market-implied rate path, widening term premia as heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing and fiscal deficits. Elevated real yields reflect both policy uncertainty and structural supply pressures, limiting near-term downside despite potential cooling in labor data or energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift trader consensus on the low before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$14,287শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield recently traded near 5.33% amid expectations for a higher-for-longer federal funds rate following the Fed’s September 2026 quarter-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range under Chair Warsh. Hawkish SEP projections, resilient growth, and sticky inflation have lifted the market-implied rate path, widening term premia as heavy Treasury issuance competes with corporate borrowing and fiscal deficits. Elevated real yields reflect both policy uncertainty and structural supply pressures, limiting near-term downside despite potential cooling in labor data or energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift trader consensus on the low before year-end 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা