Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have shifted trader sentiment toward a higher likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while PCE inflation held near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3%, fueled by energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect a more hawkish stance, with markets now pricing roughly 58% odds of a September 25-basis-point move and broader 2026 tightening. The September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
74% সম্ভাবনা
$8,781,019 Vol.
$8,781,019 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
হ্যাঁ
74% সম্ভাবনা
$8,781,019 Vol.
$8,781,019 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have shifted trader sentiment toward a higher likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while PCE inflation held near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3%, fueled by energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect a more hawkish stance, with markets now pricing roughly 58% odds of a September 25-basis-point move and broader 2026 tightening. The September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,781,019শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have shifted trader sentiment toward a higher likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while PCE inflation held near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3%, fueled by energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect a more hawkish stance, with markets now pricing roughly 58% odds of a September 25-basis-point move and broader 2026 tightening. The September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$8,781,019শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have shifted trader sentiment toward a higher likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while PCE inflation held near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3%, fueled by energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions. Under Chair Kevin Warsh, recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect a more hawkish stance, with markets now pricing roughly 58% odds of a September 25-basis-point move and broader 2026 tightening. The September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা