Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president following the January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Court directing her to assume executive powers for administrative continuity. She has consolidated authority through engagement with the Trump administration on stabilization measures, oil sector agreements, prisoner releases, and diplomatic normalization while retaining support from key institutions including the military, National Assembly under her brother Jorge Rodríguez, and figures such as Diosdado Cabello. U.S.-backed talks with limited opposition factions have advanced slowly amid June earthquakes and no scheduled elections, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity through year-end. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated transition demands, major health or security events, or sudden electoral breakthroughs, though these face structural and timeline barriers before December 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于德尔茜·罗德里格斯 95%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 4.0%
马可·鲁比奥 <1%
没有国家元首 <1%
$393,195 交易量
$393,195 交易量
2026-12-30
德尔茜·罗德里格斯
95%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
4%
马可·鲁比奥
1%
没有国家元首
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
<1%
霍尔赫·罗德里格斯
<1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
<1%
丹·凯恩
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
<1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
<1%
唐纳德·特朗普
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
皮特·海格塞思
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
德尔茜·罗德里格斯 95%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 4.0%
马可·鲁比奥 <1%
没有国家元首 <1%
$393,195 交易量
$393,195 交易量
2026-12-30
德尔茜·罗德里格斯
$106,583 交易量
95%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$53,452 交易量
4%
马可·鲁比奥
$6,523 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$67,180 交易量
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$4,581 交易量
<1%
霍尔赫·罗德里格斯
$8,389 交易量
<1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$4,123 交易量
<1%
丹·凯恩
$3,349 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$42,216 交易量
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$4,407 交易量
<1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$3,574 交易量
<1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$2,926 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$68,170 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$7,309 交易量
<1%
皮特·海格塞思
$3,037 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$7,378 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president following the January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Court directing her to assume executive powers for administrative continuity. She has consolidated authority through engagement with the Trump administration on stabilization measures, oil sector agreements, prisoner releases, and diplomatic normalization while retaining support from key institutions including the military, National Assembly under her brother Jorge Rodríguez, and figures such as Diosdado Cabello. U.S.-backed talks with limited opposition factions have advanced slowly amid June earthquakes and no scheduled elections, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity through year-end. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated transition demands, major health or security events, or sudden electoral breakthroughs, though these face structural and timeline barriers before December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$393,195结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president following the January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Court directing her to assume executive powers for administrative continuity. She has consolidated authority through engagement with the Trump administration on stabilization measures, oil sector agreements, prisoner releases, and diplomatic normalization while retaining support from key institutions including the military, National Assembly under her brother Jorge Rodríguez, and figures such as Diosdado Cabello. U.S.-backed talks with limited opposition factions have advanced slowly amid June earthquakes and no scheduled elections, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity through year-end. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated transition demands, major health or security events, or sudden electoral breakthroughs, though these face structural and timeline barriers before December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
交易量
$393,195结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETDelcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position as Venezuela’s interim president following the January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with the Supreme Court directing her to assume executive powers for administrative continuity. She has consolidated authority through engagement with the Trump administration on stabilization measures, oil sector agreements, prisoner releases, and diplomatic normalization while retaining support from key institutions including the military, National Assembly under her brother Jorge Rodríguez, and figures such as Diosdado Cabello. U.S.-backed talks with limited opposition factions have advanced slowly amid June earthquakes and no scheduled elections, reinforcing trader consensus on continuity through year-end. Potential shifts could arise from accelerated transition demands, major health or security events, or sudden electoral breakthroughs, though these face structural and timeline barriers before December 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题