Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于89% 概率
$260,121 交易量
$260,121 交易量
2026-12-31
89% 概率
$260,121 交易量
$260,121 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
交易量
$260,121结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$260,121结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETRecent high-level US-China economic talks in New York, including an eight-hour session on September 20 between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, produced progress on implementing the Board of Trade mechanism for carving out non-sensitive goods from tariff actions and advancing reciprocal reductions on roughly $30 billion in bilateral trade. These discussions build on the May 2026 summit framework and precede the September 24 Trump-Xi meeting, amid efforts to extend the trade truce set to expire November 10. Official statements described the atmosphere as constructive, with continued working groups addressing tariffs alongside AI notifications and critical minerals. Traders appear to view these steps, plus prior commitments capping additional duties around 20 percent, as strong indicators that a tariff agreement will materialize before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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