Iranian authorities have maintained heavy internet restrictions since partially restoring connectivity in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown tied to nationwide protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, with roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible as of mid-September and ongoing throttling of platforms and VPNs. Recent reports highlight Tehran's progress toward a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch system to isolate domestic services during unrest. Primary drivers of any future total blackout include escalation in anti-government protests fueled by economic pressures, security responses to information flows, or renewed regional tensions. Traders weigh these against the economic costs of prolonged isolation and the government's recent preference for tiered access over complete disconnection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$249,128 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
21%
$249,128 交易量
9月30日
$6,892 交易量
1%
12月31日
$12,785 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have maintained heavy internet restrictions since partially restoring connectivity in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown tied to nationwide protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, with roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible as of mid-September and ongoing throttling of platforms and VPNs. Recent reports highlight Tehran's progress toward a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch system to isolate domestic services during unrest. Primary drivers of any future total blackout include escalation in anti-government protests fueled by economic pressures, security responses to information flows, or renewed regional tensions. Traders weigh these against the economic costs of prolonged isolation and the government's recent preference for tiered access over complete disconnection.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$249,128结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have maintained heavy internet restrictions since partially restoring connectivity in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown tied to nationwide protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, with roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible as of mid-September and ongoing throttling of platforms and VPNs. Recent reports highlight Tehran's progress toward a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch system to isolate domestic services during unrest. Primary drivers of any future total blackout include escalation in anti-government protests fueled by economic pressures, security responses to information flows, or renewed regional tensions. Traders weigh these against the economic costs of prolonged isolation and the government's recent preference for tiered access over complete disconnection.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$249,128结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETIranian authorities have maintained heavy internet restrictions since partially restoring connectivity in late May 2026 following an 88-day near-total shutdown tied to nationwide protests and U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity remains well below pre-2026 levels, with roughly one-third of international domains inaccessible as of mid-September and ongoing throttling of platforms and VPNs. Recent reports highlight Tehran's progress toward a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch system to isolate domestic services during unrest. Primary drivers of any future total blackout include escalation in anti-government protests fueled by economic pressures, security responses to information flows, or renewed regional tensions. Traders weigh these against the economic costs of prolonged isolation and the government's recent preference for tiered access over complete disconnection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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