Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal elections and his unopposed primary path. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary but faces structural challenges, including limited fundraising compared to the incumbent and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with Hagerty positioned as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national political changes, significant campaign finance shifts, or unexpected candidate-specific events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,907 交易量
$29,907 交易量
2026-11-02
比尔·哈格蒂（共和党）
96%
马奎塔·布拉德肖（民主党）
3%
$29,907 交易量
$29,907 交易量
2026-11-02
比尔·哈格蒂（共和党）
$19,518 交易量
96%
马奎塔·布拉德肖（民主党）
$10,390 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal elections and his unopposed primary path. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary but faces structural challenges, including limited fundraising compared to the incumbent and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with Hagerty positioned as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national political changes, significant campaign finance shifts, or unexpected candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$29,907结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal elections and his unopposed primary path. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary but faces structural challenges, including limited fundraising compared to the incumbent and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with Hagerty positioned as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national political changes, significant campaign finance shifts, or unexpected candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$29,907结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETIncumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal elections and his unopposed primary path. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 2026 primary but faces structural challenges, including limited fundraising compared to the incumbent and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with Hagerty positioned as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Potential developments that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national political changes, significant campaign finance shifts, or unexpected candidate-specific events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题