All three Senate contests remain highly competitive toss-ups less than seven weeks from the November 3 election, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1–3 points in each state. In Texas, Republican Ken Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico in an open seat rated toss-up by major forecasters. Michigan’s open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in a race that has tightened since the August primary. Maine’s contest between incumbent Susan Collins and Troy Jackson shows similar closeness. These narrow spreads and late undecided voters sustain high probabilities for mixed outcomes over a Democratic sweep or Republican sweep, as modest shifts in turnout or national environment could alter any single result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党全胜 42%
共和党 德州和密歇根，民主党 缅因州 12%
共和党德州，民主党密歇根&缅因州 11%
共和党全胜 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党全胜
42%
共和党 德州和密歇根，民主党 缅因州
12%
共和党德州，民主党密歇根&缅因州
11%
共和党全胜
7%
德州与密歇根民主党，缅因共和党
7%
民主党得德州和缅因州，共和党得密歇根州
7%
共和党 德州和缅因州，民主党 密歇根州
6%
德州民主党，密歇根和缅因州共和党
11%
民主党全胜 42%
共和党 德州和密歇根，民主党 缅因州 12%
共和党德州，民主党密歇根&缅因州 11%
共和党全胜 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党全胜
$1,338 交易量
42%
共和党 德州和密歇根，民主党 缅因州
$169 交易量
12%
共和党德州，民主党密歇根&缅因州
$157 交易量
11%
共和党全胜
$131 交易量
7%
德州与密歇根民主党，缅因共和党
$116 交易量
7%
民主党得德州和缅因州，共和党得密歇根州
$164 交易量
7%
共和党 德州和缅因州，民主党 密歇根州
$162 交易量
6%
德州民主党，密歇根和缅因州共和党
$119 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain highly competitive toss-ups less than seven weeks from the November 3 election, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1–3 points in each state. In Texas, Republican Ken Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico in an open seat rated toss-up by major forecasters. Michigan’s open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in a race that has tightened since the August primary. Maine’s contest between incumbent Susan Collins and Troy Jackson shows similar closeness. These narrow spreads and late undecided voters sustain high probabilities for mixed outcomes over a Democratic sweep or Republican sweep, as modest shifts in turnout or national environment could alter any single result.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
交易量
$2,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three Senate contests remain highly competitive toss-ups less than seven weeks from the November 3 election, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1–3 points in each state. In Texas, Republican Ken Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico in an open seat rated toss-up by major forecasters. Michigan’s open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in a race that has tightened since the August primary. Maine’s contest between incumbent Susan Collins and Troy Jackson shows similar closeness. These narrow spreads and late undecided voters sustain high probabilities for mixed outcomes over a Democratic sweep or Republican sweep, as modest shifts in turnout or national environment could alter any single result.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$2,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETAll three Senate contests remain highly competitive toss-ups less than seven weeks from the November 3 election, with recent polling averages showing margins of 1–3 points in each state. In Texas, Republican Ken Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico in an open seat rated toss-up by major forecasters. Michigan’s open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in a race that has tightened since the August primary. Maine’s contest between incumbent Susan Collins and Troy Jackson shows similar closeness. These narrow spreads and late undecided voters sustain high probabilities for mixed outcomes over a Democratic sweep or Republican sweep, as modest shifts in turnout or national environment could alter any single result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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