Republican Senate incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a closely contested race, with recent Emerson and other mid-September polls showing margins under 3 points amid strong independent support for Hamilton. Republican Ty Masterson holds a clearer lead over Democrat Cindy Holscher for the open governorship, consistent with Kansas's Republican lean and the departure of term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly. These dynamics position a Republican sweep as the leading trader consensus outcome, while mixed results reflect uncertainty over ticket splitting and the impact of Libertarian David Graham in the Senate contest. The August primaries confirmed the general-election matchups without major subsequent shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党横扫 62%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院 12.3%
民主党横扫 11%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员 11%
$13,051 交易量
$13,051 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党横扫
62%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院
12%
民主党横扫
11%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员
11%
共和党横扫 62%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院 12.3%
民主党横扫 11%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员 11%
$13,051 交易量
$13,051 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党横扫
$8,072 交易量
62%
共和党赢得州长，民主党赢得参议院
$2,199 交易量
12%
民主党横扫
$827 交易量
11%
民主党赢州长，共和党赢参议员
$1,952 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican Senate incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a closely contested race, with recent Emerson and other mid-September polls showing margins under 3 points amid strong independent support for Hamilton. Republican Ty Masterson holds a clearer lead over Democrat Cindy Holscher for the open governorship, consistent with Kansas's Republican lean and the departure of term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly. These dynamics position a Republican sweep as the leading trader consensus outcome, while mixed results reflect uncertainty over ticket splitting and the impact of Libertarian David Graham in the Senate contest. The August primaries confirmed the general-election matchups without major subsequent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
交易量
$13,051结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican Senate incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a closely contested race, with recent Emerson and other mid-September polls showing margins under 3 points amid strong independent support for Hamilton. Republican Ty Masterson holds a clearer lead over Democrat Cindy Holscher for the open governorship, consistent with Kansas's Republican lean and the departure of term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly. These dynamics position a Republican sweep as the leading trader consensus outcome, while mixed results reflect uncertainty over ticket splitting and the impact of Libertarian David Graham in the Senate contest. The August primaries confirmed the general-election matchups without major subsequent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,051结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETRepublican Senate incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a closely contested race, with recent Emerson and other mid-September polls showing margins under 3 points amid strong independent support for Hamilton. Republican Ty Masterson holds a clearer lead over Democrat Cindy Holscher for the open governorship, consistent with Kansas's Republican lean and the departure of term-limited Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly. These dynamics position a Republican sweep as the leading trader consensus outcome, while mixed results reflect uncertainty over ticket splitting and the impact of Libertarian David Graham in the Senate contest. The August primaries confirmed the general-election matchups without major subsequent shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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