Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,431 交易量
$27,431 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
95%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
4%
$27,431 交易量
$27,431 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
$18,904 交易量
95%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
$8,528 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,431结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,431结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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