Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on September 24 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6 °C and near the upper end of historical September 24 values (record 32.4 °C). The tight market split between 34 °C (52.5 %) and 35 °C (43.5 %) reflects minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification, with traders monitoring real-time AEMET station data and afternoon satellite imagery for the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日马德里气温最高？
9月24日马德里气温最高？
34°C 54%
35°C 45%
33°C 4%
36℃ 2%
$43,953 交易量
$43,953 交易量
2026-09-24
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
54%
35°C
45%
36℃
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 54%
35°C 45%
33°C 4%
36℃ 2%
$43,953 交易量
$43,953 交易量
2026-09-24
29°C或以下
$2,361 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,452 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,201 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,515 交易量
1%
33°C
$6,577 交易量
4%
34°C
$9,873 交易量
54%
35°C
$11,598 交易量
45%
36℃
$4,901 交易量
2%
37°C
$673 交易量
<1%
38°C
$1,588 交易量
<1%
39°C或更高
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on September 24 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6 °C and near the upper end of historical September 24 values (record 32.4 °C). The tight market split between 34 °C (52.5 %) and 35 °C (43.5 %) reflects minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification, with traders monitoring real-time AEMET station data and afternoon satellite imagery for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$43,953结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on September 24 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6 °C and near the upper end of historical September 24 values (record 32.4 °C). The tight market split between 34 °C (52.5 %) and 35 °C (43.5 %) reflects minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification, with traders monitoring real-time AEMET station data and afternoon satellite imagery for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,953结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on September 24 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6 °C and near the upper end of historical September 24 values (record 32.4 °C). The tight market split between 34 °C (52.5 %) and 35 °C (43.5 %) reflects minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification, with traders monitoring real-time AEMET station data and afternoon satellite imagery for the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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