Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500 / P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at prior-year levels through December 11 and eliminating any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure advanced with broad support, including Senate passage by 90-6 and House concurrence by 370-48, reflecting bipartisan priority on avoiding pre-midterm disruptions to agency operations. Trader consensus at 98.9% against a lapse aligns with this completed legislative action ahead of the fiscal year start. Remaining uncertainty centers on the December 11 expiration, where failure to enact further regular appropriations or another stopgap could trigger a later funding gap, though no procedural or partisan barriers currently threaten the October 1 outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-01
1% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500 / P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at prior-year levels through December 11 and eliminating any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure advanced with broad support, including Senate passage by 90-6 and House concurrence by 370-48, reflecting bipartisan priority on avoiding pre-midterm disruptions to agency operations. Trader consensus at 98.9% against a lapse aligns with this completed legislative action ahead of the fiscal year start. Remaining uncertainty centers on the December 11 expiration, where failure to enact further regular appropriations or another stopgap could trigger a later funding gap, though no procedural or partisan barriers currently threaten the October 1 outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,191结束日期
2026-10-02市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500 / P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at prior-year levels through December 11 and eliminating any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure advanced with broad support, including Senate passage by 90-6 and House concurrence by 370-48, reflecting bipartisan priority on avoiding pre-midterm disruptions to agency operations. Trader consensus at 98.9% against a lapse aligns with this completed legislative action ahead of the fiscal year start. Remaining uncertainty centers on the December 11 expiration, where failure to enact further regular appropriations or another stopgap could trigger a later funding gap, though no procedural or partisan barriers currently threaten the October 1 outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,191结束日期
2026-10-02市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETCongress enacted and President Trump signed a continuing resolution (H.R. 6500 / P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending federal funding at prior-year levels through December 11 and eliminating any appropriations lapse on October 1. The measure advanced with broad support, including Senate passage by 90-6 and House concurrence by 370-48, reflecting bipartisan priority on avoiding pre-midterm disruptions to agency operations. Trader consensus at 98.9% against a lapse aligns with this completed legislative action ahead of the fiscal year start. Remaining uncertainty centers on the December 11 expiration, where failure to enact further regular appropriations or another stopgap could trigger a later funding gap, though no procedural or partisan barriers currently threaten the October 1 outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题