Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,140 交易量
$26,140 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德·舍曼（民主党）
95%
拉里·汤普森（共和党）
1%
$26,140 交易量
$26,140 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德·舍曼（民主党）
$12,387 交易量
95%
拉里·汤普森（共和党）
$13,753 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$26,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETBrad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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