Québec Solidaire maintains strong positioning in several urban ridings ahead of the October 5 election, with projections from models such as 338Canada estimating 9 seats on average and a floor of at least three. The party holds multiple safe or leaning districts on Montreal Island and in Quebec City, including Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where concentrated support has historically translated into wins despite an 11 percent provincial vote share. Recent polls and seat forecasts have shown limited movement in these strongholds during the campaign, supporting the elevated implied probability. Factors that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout swings in competitive ridings or late shifts in voter preferences away from left-leaning options, though such changes would need to be substantial to eliminate all QS representation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
98% 機率
最新
最新
2027-01-31
是
98% 機率
最新
最新
2027-01-31
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains strong positioning in several urban ridings ahead of the October 5 election, with projections from models such as 338Canada estimating 9 seats on average and a floor of at least three. The party holds multiple safe or leaning districts on Montreal Island and in Quebec City, including Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where concentrated support has historically translated into wins despite an 11 percent provincial vote share. Recent polls and seat forecasts have shown limited movement in these strongholds during the campaign, supporting the elevated implied probability. Factors that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout swings in competitive ridings or late shifts in voter preferences away from left-leaning options, though such changes would need to be substantial to eliminate all QS representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
交易量
$673結束日期
2027-02-01市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains strong positioning in several urban ridings ahead of the October 5 election, with projections from models such as 338Canada estimating 9 seats on average and a floor of at least three. The party holds multiple safe or leaning districts on Montreal Island and in Quebec City, including Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where concentrated support has historically translated into wins despite an 11 percent provincial vote share. Recent polls and seat forecasts have shown limited movement in these strongholds during the campaign, supporting the elevated implied probability. Factors that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout swings in competitive ridings or late shifts in voter preferences away from left-leaning options, though such changes would need to be substantial to eliminate all QS representation.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$673結束日期
2027-02-01市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETQuébec Solidaire maintains strong positioning in several urban ridings ahead of the October 5 election, with projections from models such as 338Canada estimating 9 seats on average and a floor of at least three. The party holds multiple safe or leaning districts on Montreal Island and in Quebec City, including Gouin, Mercier, and Taschereau, where concentrated support has historically translated into wins despite an 11 percent provincial vote share. Recent polls and seat forecasts have shown limited movement in these strongholds during the campaign, supporting the elevated implied probability. Factors that could still alter the outcome include unusually high turnout swings in competitive ridings or late shifts in voter preferences away from left-leaning options, though such changes would need to be substantial to eliminate all QS representation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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