Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on consistent statewide election results exceeding 60% for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Brian Babin secured renomination with over 81% in the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart prevailed in her primary but reports minimal fundraising compared to Babin's substantial cash reserves. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns, incumbency edge, and resource imbalance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,557 交易量
$30,557 交易量
2026-11-03
布萊恩·巴賓（共和黨）
93%
Rhonda Hart（民主黨）
6%
$30,557 交易量
$30,557 交易量
2026-11-03
布萊恩·巴賓（共和黨）
$8,521 交易量
93%
Rhonda Hart（民主黨）
$22,035 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on consistent statewide election results exceeding 60% for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Brian Babin secured renomination with over 81% in the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart prevailed in her primary but reports minimal fundraising compared to Babin's substantial cash reserves. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns, incumbency edge, and resource imbalance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$30,557結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on consistent statewide election results exceeding 60% for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Brian Babin secured renomination with over 81% in the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart prevailed in her primary but reports minimal fundraising compared to Babin's substantial cash reserves. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns, incumbency edge, and resource imbalance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,557結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTexas's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean based on consistent statewide election results exceeding 60% for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Brian Babin secured renomination with over 81% in the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart prevailed in her primary but reports minimal fundraising compared to Babin's substantial cash reserves. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns, incumbency edge, and resource imbalance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow margins, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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