Nathaniel Moran's commanding position in the TX-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican dominance, where Donald Trump carried the seat by over 74 points in the prior presidential contest and the incumbent secured unopposed renomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting East Texas's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Yolanda Prince, the Democratic nominee, advanced through a low-turnout primary but has raised under $10,000 compared with Moran's $1.8 million, underscoring resource and visibility gaps. Trader consensus prices embed these structural factors while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts from national turnout surges, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that have occasionally narrowed similar safe-seat margins in past cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$59,132 交易量
$59,132 交易量
2026-11-02
納撒尼爾·莫蘭（共和黨）
96%
尤蘭達·普林斯（民主黨）
2%
$59,132 交易量
$59,132 交易量
2026-11-02
納撒尼爾·莫蘭（共和黨）
$5,321 交易量
96%
尤蘭達·普林斯（民主黨）
$53,811 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran's commanding position in the TX-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican dominance, where Donald Trump carried the seat by over 74 points in the prior presidential contest and the incumbent secured unopposed renomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting East Texas's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Yolanda Prince, the Democratic nominee, advanced through a low-turnout primary but has raised under $10,000 compared with Moran's $1.8 million, underscoring resource and visibility gaps. Trader consensus prices embed these structural factors while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts from national turnout surges, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that have occasionally narrowed similar safe-seat margins in past cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$59,132結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran's commanding position in the TX-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican dominance, where Donald Trump carried the seat by over 74 points in the prior presidential contest and the incumbent secured unopposed renomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting East Texas's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Yolanda Prince, the Democratic nominee, advanced through a low-turnout primary but has raised under $10,000 compared with Moran's $1.8 million, underscoring resource and visibility gaps. Trader consensus prices embed these structural factors while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts from national turnout surges, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that have occasionally narrowed similar safe-seat margins in past cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,132結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNathaniel Moran's commanding position in the TX-01 House race stems from the district's consistent Republican dominance, where Donald Trump carried the seat by over 74 points in the prior presidential contest and the incumbent secured unopposed renomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting East Texas's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Yolanda Prince, the Democratic nominee, advanced through a low-turnout primary but has raised under $10,000 compared with Moran's $1.8 million, underscoring resource and visibility gaps. Trader consensus prices embed these structural factors while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts from national turnout surges, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals that have occasionally narrowed similar safe-seat margins in past cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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