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icon for SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?

SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?

icon for SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?

SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?

16% 機率
Polymarket
最新

16% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) maintains a deliberate stealth posture with no public models, research papers, benchmarks, or capability demonstrations since its 2024 founding, even after the July 2026 Nvidia partnership delivered a reported $5 billion investment and 10x compute scaling via the Vera Rubin platform. Sutskever’s statements emphasize internal research milestones worthy of scaling toward safe superintelligence rather than near-term releases, while an unconfirmed August 2026 model rumor from an outside investor passed without any artifact appearing. As of early September 2026, the company’s site and public record remain unchanged, aligning with forecasts of low odds for any 2026 output. This track record of prioritizing long-horizon alignment work over announcements underpins trader consensus favoring “No” by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
交易量
$4,088
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) maintains a deliberate stealth posture with no public models, research papers, benchmarks, or capability demonstrations since its 2024 founding, even after the July 2026 Nvidia partnership delivered a reported $5 billion investment and 10x compute scaling via the Vera Rubin platform. Sutskever’s statements emphasize internal research milestones worthy of scaling toward safe superintelligence rather than near-term releases, while an unconfirmed August 2026 model rumor from an outside investor passed without any artifact appearing. As of early September 2026, the company’s site and public record remain unchanged, aligning with forecasts of low odds for any 2026 output. This track record of prioritizing long-horizon alignment work over announcements underpins trader consensus favoring “No” by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
交易量
$4,088
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "問題:SSI宣布已於12月31日達成SSI?" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?" is "問題:SSI宣布已於12月31日達成SSI?" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SSI宣佈已在12月31日前達到SSI ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.