Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026, citing security risks in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought, and technical hurdles in voter registration modernization. This decision, following National Electoral Commission advice, shifted the vote to March 2027 or later under the six-region proportional system limited to three national parties. Trader consensus reflects these institutional steps, with the extension placing any contest after the market’s December 2026 cutoff. A sudden improvement in eastern security or reversal of the Guurti ruling could reopen an earlier timeline, though current conditions and procedural timelines make such shifts improbable before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年前不舉行選舉 98.4%
正義與福利（UCID） <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,988 交易量
$111,988 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前不舉行選舉
98%
正義與福利（UCID）
1%
Kulmiye
<1%
Waddani
<1%
2027年前不舉行選舉 98.4%
正義與福利（UCID） <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,988 交易量
$111,988 交易量
2026-12-31
2027年前不舉行選舉
$98,229 交易量
98%
正義與福利（UCID）
$5,116 交易量
1%
Kulmiye
$3,882 交易量
<1%
Waddani
$4,761 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026, citing security risks in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought, and technical hurdles in voter registration modernization. This decision, following National Electoral Commission advice, shifted the vote to March 2027 or later under the six-region proportional system limited to three national parties. Trader consensus reflects these institutional steps, with the extension placing any contest after the market’s December 2026 cutoff. A sudden improvement in eastern security or reversal of the Guurti ruling could reopen an earlier timeline, though current conditions and procedural timelines make such shifts improbable before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$111,988結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETParliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026, citing security risks in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought, and technical hurdles in voter registration modernization. This decision, following National Electoral Commission advice, shifted the vote to March 2027 or later under the six-region proportional system limited to three national parties. Trader consensus reflects these institutional steps, with the extension placing any contest after the market’s December 2026 cutoff. A sudden improvement in eastern security or reversal of the Guurti ruling could reopen an earlier timeline, though current conditions and procedural timelines make such shifts improbable before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$111,988結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETSomaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026, were postponed after the House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026, citing security risks in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought, and technical hurdles in voter registration modernization. This decision, following National Electoral Commission advice, shifted the vote to March 2027 or later under the six-region proportional system limited to three national parties. Trader consensus reflects these institutional steps, with the extension placing any contest after the market’s December 2026 cutoff. A sudden improvement in eastern security or reversal of the Guurti ruling could reopen an earlier timeline, though current conditions and procedural timelines make such shifts improbable before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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