Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於CAQ 64%
魁北克自由黨 18%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,918 交易量
$16,918 交易量
2026-10-04
CAQ
64%
魁北克自由黨
18%
PQ
17%
PVQ
1%
QS
1%
PCQ
1%
CAQ 64%
魁北克自由黨 18%
PQ 17%
PVQ <1%
$16,918 交易量
$16,918 交易量
2026-10-04
CAQ
$4,532 交易量
64%
魁北克自由黨
$4,667 交易量
18%
PQ
$4,111 交易量
17%
PVQ
$1,226 交易量
1%
QS
$1,498 交易量
1%
PCQ
$884 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
交易量
$16,918結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$16,918結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRecent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions