Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,750 交易量
$26,750 交易量
2026-11-02
傑夫·范·德魯（共和黨）
84%
扎克·穆洛克（民主黨）
14%
$26,750 交易量
$26,750 交易量
2026-11-02
傑夫·范·德魯（共和黨）
$13,570 交易量
84%
扎克·穆洛克（民主黨）
$13,180 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$26,750結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,750結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETJeff Van Drew holds an 83.5% implied probability in the NJ-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voter Index and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The four-term incumbent advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary and benefits from established voter support in southern New Jersey counties. Zack Mullock, the Democratic nominee after his June primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles, though some internal polling has highlighted potential vulnerability tied to national conditions. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout or late developments, but current trader consensus aligns with the seat’s established partisan baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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