Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister due to her record as head of the longest-serving postwar government, sustained support for her Brothers of Italy party near 26 percent in recent polling, and repeated statements committing to serve through the end of the current legislature in 2027. Coalition strains and the rise of Roberto Vannacci’s new far-right National Future movement, which has captured roughly 7 percent and drawn votes from League and Forza Italia allies, have tempered expectations of an unchallenged path. Centre-left opposition remains divided, with Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement viewed as the primary alternatives should the centre-right bloc underperform. Ongoing parliamentary debates over electoral reform, including proposals for greater stability and direct prime-ministerial designation, add further uncertainty ahead of the scheduled vote no later than late 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Giorgia Meloni 55%
Elly Schlein 15%
Giuseppe Conte 13%
羅貝托·瓦納奇 9.3%
$85,328 交易量
$85,328 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
55%
Elly Schlein
15%
Giuseppe Conte
13%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
3%
西爾維婭·薩利斯
8%
羅貝托·瓦納奇
9%
馬泰奧·倫齊
<1%
安傑洛·博內利
<1%
卡洛·卡倫達
<1%
Giorgia Meloni 55%
Elly Schlein 15%
Giuseppe Conte 13%
羅貝托·瓦納奇 9.3%
$85,328 交易量
$85,328 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
55%
Elly Schlein
15%
Giuseppe Conte
13%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
3%
西爾維婭·薩利斯
8%
羅貝托·瓦納奇
9%
馬泰奧·倫齊
<1%
安傑洛·博內利
<1%
卡洛·卡倫達
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister due to her record as head of the longest-serving postwar government, sustained support for her Brothers of Italy party near 26 percent in recent polling, and repeated statements committing to serve through the end of the current legislature in 2027. Coalition strains and the rise of Roberto Vannacci’s new far-right National Future movement, which has captured roughly 7 percent and drawn votes from League and Forza Italia allies, have tempered expectations of an unchallenged path. Centre-left opposition remains divided, with Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement viewed as the primary alternatives should the centre-right bloc underperform. Ongoing parliamentary debates over electoral reform, including proposals for greater stability and direct prime-ministerial designation, add further uncertainty ahead of the scheduled vote no later than late 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions