Debbie Dingell holds a commanding position in Michigan's 6th congressional district due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition, and the area's consistent Democratic tilt, including a D+12 partisan voter index and her 62% win in 2024. The district centers on liberal-leaning Washtenaw County around Ann Arbor, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primaries and forecasters across outlets rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects these structural factors plus Dingell's fundraising edge and absence of recent district-specific disruptions. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health issue, ethics scandal, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout in suburban and college-heavy precincts before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$51,051 交易量
$51,051 交易量
2026-11-02
黛比·丁格爾（民主黨）
96%
希瑟·史邁利（共和黨）
<1%
$51,051 交易量
$51,051 交易量
2026-11-02
黛比·丁格爾（民主黨）
$24,038 交易量
96%
希瑟·史邁利（共和黨）
$27,013 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell holds a commanding position in Michigan's 6th congressional district due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition, and the area's consistent Democratic tilt, including a D+12 partisan voter index and her 62% win in 2024. The district centers on liberal-leaning Washtenaw County around Ann Arbor, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primaries and forecasters across outlets rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects these structural factors plus Dingell's fundraising edge and absence of recent district-specific disruptions. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health issue, ethics scandal, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout in suburban and college-heavy precincts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$51,051結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell holds a commanding position in Michigan's 6th congressional district due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition, and the area's consistent Democratic tilt, including a D+12 partisan voter index and her 62% win in 2024. The district centers on liberal-leaning Washtenaw County around Ann Arbor, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primaries and forecasters across outlets rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects these structural factors plus Dingell's fundraising edge and absence of recent district-specific disruptions. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health issue, ethics scandal, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout in suburban and college-heavy precincts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$51,051結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDebbie Dingell holds a commanding position in Michigan's 6th congressional district due to her long incumbency, strong name recognition, and the area's consistent Democratic tilt, including a D+12 partisan voter index and her 62% win in 2024. The district centers on liberal-leaning Washtenaw County around Ann Arbor, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primaries and forecasters across outlets rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects these structural factors plus Dingell's fundraising edge and absence of recent district-specific disruptions. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle event such as a health issue, ethics scandal, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout in suburban and college-heavy precincts before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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