Recent Q2 2026 GDP data, showing a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound from the prior contraction and roughly 2% year-over-year expansion, has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment around moderate outcomes for the Q3 print. Private-sector forecasts from Banxico surveys and analysts cluster near 1.3–1.5% for full-year growth, with the central bank recently lifting its 2026 projection to 1.5% amid stronger-than-expected second-quarter momentum, while private investment remains constrained by USMCA review uncertainty and governance concerns. Inflation near 3.26% and the policy rate at 6.5% signal limited stimulus support, leaving the outcome sensitive to incoming industrial production, retail sales, and external demand readings ahead of the October 30 release. The close distribution across the 1.5–2.5% bins reflects this balance between rebound effects and underlying headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.5-2.0% 33%
2.0-2.5% 28%
2.5-3.0% 19%
1.0-1.5% 6%
$25,517 交易量
$25,517 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.5%
1%
0.5-1.0%
<1%
1.0-1.5%
6%
1.5-2.0%
33%
2.0-2.5%
28%
2.5-3.0%
19%
3.0-3.5%
2%
3.5%+
1%
1.5-2.0% 33%
2.0-2.5% 28%
2.5-3.0% 19%
1.0-1.5% 6%
$25,517 交易量
$25,517 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.5%
$452 交易量
1%
0.5-1.0%
$339 交易量
<1%
1.0-1.5%
$3,390 交易量
6%
1.5-2.0%
$8,446 交易量
33%
2.0-2.5%
$10,910 交易量
28%
2.5-3.0%
$1,128 交易量
19%
3.0-3.5%
$418 交易量
2%
3.5%+
$433 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data, showing a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound from the prior contraction and roughly 2% year-over-year expansion, has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment around moderate outcomes for the Q3 print. Private-sector forecasts from Banxico surveys and analysts cluster near 1.3–1.5% for full-year growth, with the central bank recently lifting its 2026 projection to 1.5% amid stronger-than-expected second-quarter momentum, while private investment remains constrained by USMCA review uncertainty and governance concerns. Inflation near 3.26% and the policy rate at 6.5% signal limited stimulus support, leaving the outcome sensitive to incoming industrial production, retail sales, and external demand readings ahead of the October 30 release. The close distribution across the 1.5–2.5% bins reflects this balance between rebound effects and underlying headwinds.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$25,517結束日期
2026-10-30市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data, showing a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound from the prior contraction and roughly 2% year-over-year expansion, has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment around moderate outcomes for the Q3 print. Private-sector forecasts from Banxico surveys and analysts cluster near 1.3–1.5% for full-year growth, with the central bank recently lifting its 2026 projection to 1.5% amid stronger-than-expected second-quarter momentum, while private investment remains constrained by USMCA review uncertainty and governance concerns. Inflation near 3.26% and the policy rate at 6.5% signal limited stimulus support, leaving the outcome sensitive to incoming industrial production, retail sales, and external demand readings ahead of the October 30 release. The close distribution across the 1.5–2.5% bins reflects this balance between rebound effects and underlying headwinds.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,517結束日期
2026-10-30市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETRecent Q2 2026 GDP data, showing a 1.4% quarter-over-quarter rebound from the prior contraction and roughly 2% year-over-year expansion, has anchored Polymarket trader sentiment around moderate outcomes for the Q3 print. Private-sector forecasts from Banxico surveys and analysts cluster near 1.3–1.5% for full-year growth, with the central bank recently lifting its 2026 projection to 1.5% amid stronger-than-expected second-quarter momentum, while private investment remains constrained by USMCA review uncertainty and governance concerns. Inflation near 3.26% and the policy rate at 6.5% signal limited stimulus support, leaving the outcome sensitive to incoming industrial production, retail sales, and external demand readings ahead of the October 30 release. The close distribution across the 1.5–2.5% bins reflects this balance between rebound effects and underlying headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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