Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,209 交易量
$48,209 交易量
2026-11-02
拉斯·富爾查（共和黨）
95%
Kaylee Peterson（民主黨）
4%
$48,209 交易量
$48,209 交易量
2026-11-02
拉斯·富爾查（共和黨）
$32,566 交易量
95%
Kaylee Peterson（民主黨）
$15,643 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,209結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,209結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETIncumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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