Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？
經濟艙·聯邦利率

9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

icon for 9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？
經濟艙·聯邦利率

9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？

$21,202 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$21,202 交易量

Polymarket

4.90%

$2,966 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has been the dominant driver lifting 5-year Treasury yields amid persistent inflation. August CPI held near 3.4% with PCE at 3.7%, while Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks and updated dot plot signaled further tightening ahead, pushing the 5-year yield from around 4.5% early in the month to 4.86% by September 19. Treasury supply auctions and risk-off flows have reinforced the move, with the curve steepening modestly. Traders are now watching October data releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields can sustain or extend gains before month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$21,202
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has been the dominant driver lifting 5-year Treasury yields amid persistent inflation. August CPI held near 3.4% with PCE at 3.7%, while Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks and updated dot plot signaled further tightening ahead, pushing the 5-year yield from around 4.5% early in the month to 4.86% by September 19. Treasury supply auctions and risk-off flows have reinforced the move, with the curve steepening modestly. Traders are now watching October data releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields can sustain or extend gains before month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$21,202
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 5年期美國國債收益率在9月會跌破4.49%嗎？

5年期美國國債收益率在9月會跌破4.49%嗎？

27%
是
icon for 5年期美國國債收益率在2027年之前會達到4.90%嗎？

5年期美國國債收益率在2027年之前會達到4.90%嗎？

96%
是
icon for 30年期美國國債收益率會在9月達到5.39%嗎？

30年期美國國債收益率會在9月達到5.39%嗎？

60%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4.83%" at 100%, followed by "4.78%" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" is "4.83%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4.78%" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月份5年期美國國庫券孳息率有多高？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.