The Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now exceeding 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,678 deaths with a case-fatality ratio near 48%, has prompted a WHO public health emergency of international concern yet shows clear signs of containment. Recent epidemiological data indicate daily cases have fallen from peak levels around 120 to roughly 80, with the reproduction number at or below 1 in key zones and multiple health areas passing 42 days without new detections. Limited exportations to Uganda and one case in France produced no sustained community transmission outside DRC, consistent with historical patterns where even large regional Ebola events rarely escalate to pandemic scale. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no pandemic reflects these trends and ongoing vaccination and contact-tracing efforts, though renewed cross-border spread or control lapses could still shift conditions before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
2% 機率
$765,921 交易量
$765,921 交易量
2026-12-31
2% 機率
$765,921 交易量
$765,921 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now exceeding 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,678 deaths with a case-fatality ratio near 48%, has prompted a WHO public health emergency of international concern yet shows clear signs of containment. Recent epidemiological data indicate daily cases have fallen from peak levels around 120 to roughly 80, with the reproduction number at or below 1 in key zones and multiple health areas passing 42 days without new detections. Limited exportations to Uganda and one case in France produced no sustained community transmission outside DRC, consistent with historical patterns where even large regional Ebola events rarely escalate to pandemic scale. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no pandemic reflects these trends and ongoing vaccination and contact-tracing efforts, though renewed cross-border spread or control lapses could still shift conditions before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$765,921結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now exceeding 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,678 deaths with a case-fatality ratio near 48%, has prompted a WHO public health emergency of international concern yet shows clear signs of containment. Recent epidemiological data indicate daily cases have fallen from peak levels around 120 to roughly 80, with the reproduction number at or below 1 in key zones and multiple health areas passing 42 days without new detections. Limited exportations to Uganda and one case in France produced no sustained community transmission outside DRC, consistent with historical patterns where even large regional Ebola events rarely escalate to pandemic scale. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no pandemic reflects these trends and ongoing vaccination and contact-tracing efforts, though renewed cross-border spread or control lapses could still shift conditions before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$765,921結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThe Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now exceeding 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,678 deaths with a case-fatality ratio near 48%, has prompted a WHO public health emergency of international concern yet shows clear signs of containment. Recent epidemiological data indicate daily cases have fallen from peak levels around 120 to roughly 80, with the reproduction number at or below 1 in key zones and multiple health areas passing 42 days without new detections. Limited exportations to Uganda and one case in France produced no sustained community transmission outside DRC, consistent with historical patterns where even large regional Ebola events rarely escalate to pandemic scale. Trader consensus at 97.8% for no pandemic reflects these trends and ongoing vaccination and contact-tracing efforts, though renewed cross-border spread or control lapses could still shift conditions before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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