The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the BMW PGA Championship reflects the statistical rarity of aces on the DP World Tour even amid favorable setup at Wentworth Club. The signature par-3 14th hole has produced multiple tournament aces historically, including recent winners claiming the BMW prize vehicle, while the strong field of 120-plus players over four rounds increases overall exposure on receptive greens. Calm conditions and precise pin placements can elevate chances during peak scoring windows, yet wind shifts, firming surfaces, or conservative approaches often suppress them. Recent form from players like Frédéric Lacroix, who aced the 14th with a 7-iron, underscores how individual execution and luck combine to keep outcomes near even in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於>99% 機率
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
2026-09-20
>99% 機率
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
2026-09-20
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the BMW PGA Championship reflects the statistical rarity of aces on the DP World Tour even amid favorable setup at Wentworth Club. The signature par-3 14th hole has produced multiple tournament aces historically, including recent winners claiming the BMW prize vehicle, while the strong field of 120-plus players over four rounds increases overall exposure on receptive greens. Calm conditions and precise pin placements can elevate chances during peak scoring windows, yet wind shifts, firming surfaces, or conservative approaches often suppress them. Recent form from players like Frédéric Lacroix, who aced the 14th with a 7-iron, underscores how individual execution and luck combine to keep outcomes near even in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the BMW PGA Championship reflects the statistical rarity of aces on the DP World Tour even amid favorable setup at Wentworth Club. The signature par-3 14th hole has produced multiple tournament aces historically, including recent winners claiming the BMW prize vehicle, while the strong field of 120-plus players over four rounds increases overall exposure on receptive greens. Calm conditions and precise pin placements can elevate chances during peak scoring windows, yet wind shifts, firming surfaces, or conservative approaches often suppress them. Recent form from players like Frédéric Lacroix, who aced the 14th with a 7-iron, underscores how individual execution and luck combine to keep outcomes near even in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 BMW PGA Championship is cancelled, or postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ETThe closely balanced 50% implied probability for a hole-in-one at the BMW PGA Championship reflects the statistical rarity of aces on the DP World Tour even amid favorable setup at Wentworth Club. The signature par-3 14th hole has produced multiple tournament aces historically, including recent winners claiming the BMW prize vehicle, while the strong field of 120-plus players over four rounds increases overall exposure on receptive greens. Calm conditions and precise pin placements can elevate chances during peak scoring windows, yet wind shifts, firming surfaces, or conservative approaches often suppress them. Recent form from players like Frédéric Lacroix, who aced the 14th with a 7-iron, underscores how individual execution and luck combine to keep outcomes near even in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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