Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$94,751 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
7%
$94,751 交易量
2026年12月31日
$3,094 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$94,751結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Mark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$94,751結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETMark Carney’s Liberal government holds a slim majority in the House of Commons following the 2025 federal election and subsequent by-elections and floor crossings that secured its position in 2026. Recent special elections in August and September 2026 reinforced this standing, with Liberals winning all three contested seats amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The fixed-date provision of the Canada Elections Act sets the next election no later than October 15, 2029, though the prime minister retains the authority to advise dissolution earlier. With no immediate threat of a confidence defeat and polling showing the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives, the current parliamentary calendar and lack of acute political pressure point to a later rather than earlier contest. Quebec’s provincial election on October 5, 2026, and additional federal by-elections remain the nearest scheduled votes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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