This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo foldable, priced from $1,999 with pre-orders starting October 16 and availability on October 23, serves as the dominant catalyst for trader sentiment on release timelines. The book-style device features a 7.6-inch inner display, reduced crease, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, positioning it as a premium entrant against Samsung and Google foldables. Supply-chain reports and analyst commentary from Mark Gurman had built expectations for a fall 2026 debut alongside iPhone 18 models despite earlier hinge and production concerns. Upcoming catalysts include confirmation of initial shipments and any last-minute adjustments to availability windows, which could influence market-implied odds for specific resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 6 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "October 31" ở mức 99%, tiếp theo là "December 31" ở mức 99%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 99¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.
Tính đến hôm nay, "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" đã tạo $950.9K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Dec 12, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.
Để giao dịch trên "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," duyệt 6 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.
Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" là "October 31" ở mức 99%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "December 31" ở mức 99%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.
Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.
Có. Bạn không cần giao dịch để cập nhật thông tin. Trang này đóng vai trò theo dõi trực tiếp cho "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?." Xác suất kết quả cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi có giao dịch mới. Bạn có thể đánh dấu trang này và kiểm tra phần bình luận để xem trader khác đang nói gì. Bạn cũng có thể sử dụng bộ lọc khoảng thời gian trên biểu đồ để xem tỷ lệ đã thay đổi thế nào. Đây là cửa sổ miễn phí, thời gian thực vào điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.
Tỷ lệ Polymarket được đặt bởi trader thực đặt tiền thực đằng sau niềm tin, có xu hướng đưa ra dự đoán chính xác. Với $950.9K được giao dịch trên "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," giá này tổng hợp kiến thức và niềm tin tập thể của hàng nghìn người tham gia — thường vượt trội hơn thăm dò, dự báo chuyên gia và khảo sát truyền thống. Thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket có thành tích chính xác mạnh, đặc biệt khi sự kiện tiến gần ngày giải quyết. Ví dụ, Polymarket có điểm chính xác một tháng là 94%. Để biết thống kê mới nhất về độ chính xác dự đoán của Polymarket, truy cập trang độ chính xác trên Polymarket.
Để đặt lệnh đầu tiên trên "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," đăng ký tài khoản Polymarket miễn phí và nạp tiền bằng crypto, thẻ tín dụng hoặc ghi nợ, hoặc chuyển khoản ngân hàng. Khi tài khoản đã được nạp, quay lại trang này, chọn kết quả bạn muốn giao dịch, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mới với thị trường dự đoán, nhấn liên kết "Cách hoạt động" ở đầu bất kỳ trang Polymarket nào để xem hướng dẫn từng bước nhanh về cách giao dịch.
Trên Polymarket, giá của mỗi kết quả đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Giá 99¢ cho "October 31" trong thị trường "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" nghĩa là trader tập thể tin rằng có khoảng 99% khả năng "October 31" sẽ là kết quả đúng. Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" ở 99¢ và kết quả đúng, bạn nhận $1.00 mỗi cổ phần — lợi nhuận 1¢ mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, cổ phần đó giá trị $0.
Thị trường "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" dự kiến giải quyết vào hoặc khoảng Dec 31, 2026. Điều này có nghĩa giao dịch vẫn mở và tỷ lệ tiếp tục thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện cho đến ngày đó. Thời gian giải quyết chính xác phụ thuộc vào khi kết quả chính thức có sẵn, như được nêu trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này.
Thị trường "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" có cộng đồng sôi động với 25 bình luận nơi trader chia sẻ phân tích, tranh luận kết quả và thảo luận diễn biến mới nhất. Cuộn xuống phần bình luận bên dưới để đọc ý kiến từ người tham gia khác. Bạn cũng có thể lọc theo "Người nắm giữ hàng đầu" để xem trader lớn nhất đang nắm giữ vị thế ở đâu, hoặc kiểm tra tab "Hoạt động" cho dữ liệu giao dịch theo thời gian thực.
Polymarket là thị trường dự đoán lớn nhất thế giới, nơi bạn có thể cập nhật thông tin và kiếm lợi nhuận từ kiến thức về sự kiện thực tế. Trader mua và bán cổ phần trên kết quả cho các chủ đề từ chính trị và bầu cử đến crypto, tài chính, thể thao, công nghệ và văn hoá, bao gồm các thị trường như "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?." Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực được hỗ trợ bởi niềm tin tài chính, thường cung cấp tín hiệu nhanh và chính xác hơn thăm dò, bình luận viên hoặc khảo sát truyền thống.
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