Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the Texas 27th congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus around 91 percent probability of victory on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by its mix of coastal, rural, and suburban counties, underpins this outlook, as do Cloud's strong primary performance and fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with historical results where the GOP nominee has prevailed by double-digit margins. A late national partisan shift, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-27 House Election Winner
TX-27 House Election Winner
$39,492 KL.
$39,492 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Cloud (R)
91%
Tanya Lloyd (D)
8%
$39,492 KL.
$39,492 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Michael Cloud (R)
$25,021 KL.
91%
Tanya Lloyd (D)
$14,471 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the Texas 27th congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus around 91 percent probability of victory on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by its mix of coastal, rural, and suburban counties, underpins this outlook, as do Cloud's strong primary performance and fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with historical results where the GOP nominee has prevailed by double-digit margins. A late national partisan shift, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,492Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the Texas 27th congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus around 91 percent probability of victory on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by its mix of coastal, rural, and suburban counties, underpins this outlook, as do Cloud's strong primary performance and fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with historical results where the GOP nominee has prevailed by double-digit margins. A late national partisan shift, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,492Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud holds a commanding position in the Texas 27th congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus around 91 percent probability of victory on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reinforced by its mix of coastal, rural, and suburban counties, underpins this outlook, as do Cloud's strong primary performance and fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with historical results where the GOP nominee has prevailed by double-digit margins. A late national partisan shift, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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