The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment and struck down the executive order, with Chief Justice Roberts authoring the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Kavanaugh, and the three liberals. Rehearings remain exceptionally rare and require a majority of justices to identify a clear error or intervening development, a threshold the Court has met only a handful of times in recent decades. Trump publicly signaled intent to petition shortly after the ruling, but no subsequent filings or docket activity have altered the procedural posture. Traders price the “No” outcome at 95 percent because the existing opinion rests on longstanding precedent, including United States v. Wong Kim Ark, and the Court’s term has concluded without signals of reconsideration. Late developments that could still shift odds include an unusually strong petition highlighting a novel statutory argument or an unforeseen vacancy altering the Court’s composition before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment and struck down the executive order, with Chief Justice Roberts authoring the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Kavanaugh, and the three liberals. Rehearings remain exceptionally rare and require a majority of justices to identify a clear error or intervening development, a threshold the Court has met only a handful of times in recent decades. Trump publicly signaled intent to petition shortly after the ruling, but no subsequent filings or docket activity have altered the procedural posture. Traders price the “No” outcome at 95 percent because the existing opinion rests on longstanding precedent, including United States v. Wong Kim Ark, and the Court’s term has concluded without signals of reconsideration. Late developments that could still shift odds include an unusually strong petition highlighting a novel statutory argument or an unforeseen vacancy altering the Court’s composition before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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