South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance. Incumbent William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with nearly 66% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's voting history in Upstate counties such as Greenville and Spartanburg. No public polling has indicated a competitive contest. The scheduled October 8 debate represents the main remaining campaign event before the November 3 general election. A major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant turnout anomaly would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-04 House Election Winner
$43,734 KL.
$43,734 KL.
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
$43,734 KL.
$43,734 KL.
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance. Incumbent William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with nearly 66% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's voting history in Upstate counties such as Greenville and Spartanburg. No public polling has indicated a competitive contest. The scheduled October 8 debate represents the main remaining campaign event before the November 3 general election. A major national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant turnout anomaly would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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