The Resident Evil reboot’s steep 61% second-weekend drop to $23.3 million, following its $60 million opening, has cemented trader consensus around a sub-$26 million finish. Horror titles often see sharp declines after strong debuts, and this frame’s crowded marketplace—including a new Avengers: Endgame re-release and multiple wide openers—intensified the fall despite solid reviews and franchise-best tracking. The 1.7x legs through the first two weekends align with typical genre patterns for an R-rated video-game adaptation. An upset pushing past $26 million would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or lighter-than-expected competition, scenarios that current tracking and holdover performance have made highly improbable.