Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No Bond chosen 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,426 KL.
$782,426 KL.
Jack Lowden
38%
No Bond chosen
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 38.0%
No Bond chosen 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$782,426 KL.
$782,426 KL.
Jack Lowden
38%
No Bond chosen
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
3%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent insider comments from Gary Oldman have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus, with his 38% implied probability reflecting his Slow Horses spy-thriller pedigree and reports placing him on the shortlist alongside Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi. The casting process under Amazon MGM and Denis Villeneuve remains active, with callbacks and screen tests advancing but no official selection confirmed, sustaining the 18.6% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end. Lesser-known contender Jack Barton’s 11.7% share stems from shortlist mentions amid efforts to identify fresh talent, while established names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail as the methodical search heads toward a potential late-2026 announcement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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