Paige Cognetti holds a lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district due to her strong fundraising edge, narrow polling advantages in recent surveys, and the incumbent’s vulnerabilities. Rob Bresnahan, the first-term Republican who flipped the seat in 2024, faces criticism over congressional stock trading that has kept his favorability underwater in district polling. June surveys showed Cognetti ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters, while race raters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Cognetti, Scranton’s mayor, has built cash-on-hand advantages and benefits from a growing Democratic registration edge in the northeast Pennsylvania district. A scheduled October 29 debate and the November 3 general election remain key upcoming catalysts in this closely contested midterm race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
35%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
$5,018 KL.
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
$3,192 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds a lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district due to her strong fundraising edge, narrow polling advantages in recent surveys, and the incumbent’s vulnerabilities. Rob Bresnahan, the first-term Republican who flipped the seat in 2024, faces criticism over congressional stock trading that has kept his favorability underwater in district polling. June surveys showed Cognetti ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters, while race raters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Cognetti, Scranton’s mayor, has built cash-on-hand advantages and benefits from a growing Democratic registration edge in the northeast Pennsylvania district. A scheduled October 29 debate and the November 3 general election remain key upcoming catalysts in this closely contested midterm race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,210Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds a lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district due to her strong fundraising edge, narrow polling advantages in recent surveys, and the incumbent’s vulnerabilities. Rob Bresnahan, the first-term Republican who flipped the seat in 2024, faces criticism over congressional stock trading that has kept his favorability underwater in district polling. June surveys showed Cognetti ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters, while race raters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Cognetti, Scranton’s mayor, has built cash-on-hand advantages and benefits from a growing Democratic registration edge in the northeast Pennsylvania district. A scheduled October 29 debate and the November 3 general election remain key upcoming catalysts in this closely contested midterm race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,210Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Paige Cognetti holds a lead in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district due to her strong fundraising edge, narrow polling advantages in recent surveys, and the incumbent’s vulnerabilities. Rob Bresnahan, the first-term Republican who flipped the seat in 2024, faces criticism over congressional stock trading that has kept his favorability underwater in district polling. June surveys showed Cognetti ahead by 1–2 points among likely voters, while race raters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican. Cognetti, Scranton’s mayor, has built cash-on-hand advantages and benefits from a growing Democratic registration edge in the northeast Pennsylvania district. A scheduled October 29 debate and the November 3 general election remain key upcoming catalysts in this closely contested midterm race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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