Mary Gay Scanlon's position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The Philadelphia-area seat has carried solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with no competitive primary challenges emerging in the May 2026 contests for either party. Scanlon maintains active committee roles on Judiciary and Rules while securing consistent fundraising support, whereas Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro remains a low-profile challenger without notable endorsements or resources that would shift district dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats suggest limited room for such movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$37,117 KL.
$37,117 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
2%
$37,117 KL.
$37,117 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
$12,582 KL.
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
$24,536 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon's position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The Philadelphia-area seat has carried solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with no competitive primary challenges emerging in the May 2026 contests for either party. Scanlon maintains active committee roles on Judiciary and Rules while securing consistent fundraising support, whereas Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro remains a low-profile challenger without notable endorsements or resources that would shift district dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats suggest limited room for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,117Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon's position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The Philadelphia-area seat has carried solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with no competitive primary challenges emerging in the May 2026 contests for either party. Scanlon maintains active committee roles on Judiciary and Rules while securing consistent fundraising support, whereas Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro remains a low-profile challenger without notable endorsements or resources that would shift district dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats suggest limited room for such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$37,117Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Gay Scanlon's position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District underpins the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The Philadelphia-area seat has carried solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, with no competitive primary challenges emerging in the May 2026 contests for either party. Scanlon maintains active committee roles on Judiciary and Rules while securing consistent fundraising support, whereas Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro remains a low-profile challenger without notable endorsements or resources that would shift district dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats suggest limited room for such movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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