The Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote among members from November 9 to 20 with results announced November 21, remains closely contested due to the field’s mix of experience levels and limited recent polling. Navdeep Bains holds a slight edge in trader pricing on the strength of his federal cabinet background and early organizational momentum, while Lee Fairclough’s position reflects her status as an incumbent MPP and the September endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Stephanie Bowman, Dylan Marando, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities tied to narrower name recognition and fundraising profiles. Ongoing candidate events through September and early October could shift member preferences ahead of the voting window, particularly if endorsements or debate performances consolidate support among the five confirmed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNavdeep Bains 50%
Lee Fairclough 40%
Dylan Marando 15.7%
Stephanie Bowman 15.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 21, 2026
Navdeep Bains
50%
Lee Fairclough
40%
Dylan Marando
16%
Stephanie Bowman
15%
Eric Lombardi
2%
Navdeep Bains 50%
Lee Fairclough 40%
Dylan Marando 15.7%
Stephanie Bowman 15.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 21, 2026
Navdeep Bains
$3,678 KL.
50%
Lee Fairclough
$1,629 KL.
40%
Dylan Marando
$221 KL.
16%
Stephanie Bowman
$299 KL.
15%
Eric Lombardi
$262 KL.
2%
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote among members from November 9 to 20 with results announced November 21, remains closely contested due to the field’s mix of experience levels and limited recent polling. Navdeep Bains holds a slight edge in trader pricing on the strength of his federal cabinet background and early organizational momentum, while Lee Fairclough’s position reflects her status as an incumbent MPP and the September endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Stephanie Bowman, Dylan Marando, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities tied to narrower name recognition and fundraising profiles. Ongoing candidate events through September and early October could shift member preferences ahead of the voting window, particularly if endorsements or debate performances consolidate support among the five confirmed contenders.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote among members from November 9 to 20 with results announced November 21, remains closely contested due to the field’s mix of experience levels and limited recent polling. Navdeep Bains holds a slight edge in trader pricing on the strength of his federal cabinet background and early organizational momentum, while Lee Fairclough’s position reflects her status as an incumbent MPP and the September endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Stephanie Bowman, Dylan Marando, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities tied to narrower name recognition and fundraising profiles. Ongoing candidate events through September and early October could shift member preferences ahead of the voting window, particularly if endorsements or debate performances consolidate support among the five confirmed contenders.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Khối lượng
$6,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, set for a ranked-ballot vote among members from November 9 to 20 with results announced November 21, remains closely contested due to the field’s mix of experience levels and limited recent polling. Navdeep Bains holds a slight edge in trader pricing on the strength of his federal cabinet background and early organizational momentum, while Lee Fairclough’s position reflects her status as an incumbent MPP and the September endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne. Stephanie Bowman, Dylan Marando, and Eric Lombardi trail with lower implied probabilities tied to narrower name recognition and fundraising profiles. Ongoing candidate events through September and early October could shift member preferences ahead of the voting window, particularly if endorsements or debate performances consolidate support among the five confirmed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp