George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and solid ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent who captured 71.5 percent in 2024, Latimer benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of a contested primary. The general election matchup features Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney with limited statewide profile, in a constituency centered on Democratic strongholds in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus at 96.4 percent for Latimer aligns with these structural advantages and the lack of recent events capable of shifting the race. Low-probability disruptions could include a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that alters turnout, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,513 KL.
$41,513 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
George Latimer (D)
96%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
1%
$41,513 KL.
$41,513 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
George Latimer (D)
$30,937 KL.
96%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
$10,577 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and solid ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent who captured 71.5 percent in 2024, Latimer benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of a contested primary. The general election matchup features Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney with limited statewide profile, in a constituency centered on Democratic strongholds in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus at 96.4 percent for Latimer aligns with these structural advantages and the lack of recent events capable of shifting the race. Low-probability disruptions could include a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that alters turnout, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,513Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and solid ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent who captured 71.5 percent in 2024, Latimer benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of a contested primary. The general election matchup features Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney with limited statewide profile, in a constituency centered on Democratic strongholds in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus at 96.4 percent for Latimer aligns with these structural advantages and the lack of recent events capable of shifting the race. Low-probability disruptions could include a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that alters turnout, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$41,513Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and solid ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent who captured 71.5 percent in 2024, Latimer benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of a contested primary. The general election matchup features Republican Joseph Cinquemani, an attorney with limited statewide profile, in a constituency centered on Democratic strongholds in southern Westchester and parts of the Bronx. Trader consensus at 96.4 percent for Latimer aligns with these structural advantages and the lack of recent events capable of shifting the race. Low-probability disruptions could include a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment that alters turnout, though such factors have not materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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