Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 17 37.1%
September 16 36.0%
September 12 33.9%
September 15 33.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
1%
September 11
29%
September 12
34%
September 13
1%
September 14
29%
September 15
33%
September 16
36%
September 17
37%
September 18
31%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
3%
September 23
6%
September 24
3%
September 25
1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
21%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
3%
September 17 37.1%
September 16 36.0%
September 12 33.9%
September 15 33.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
$202 KL.
1%
September 11
$308 KL.
29%
September 12
$550 KL.
34%
September 13
$322 KL.
1%
September 14
$205 KL.
29%
September 15
$257 KL.
33%
September 16
$215 KL.
36%
September 17
$215 KL.
37%
September 18
$411 KL.
31%
September 19
$530 KL.
1%
September 20
$505 KL.
1%
September 21
$505 KL.
1%
September 22
$345 KL.
3%
September 23
$572 KL.
6%
September 24
$345 KL.
3%
September 25
$505 KL.
1%
September 26
$505 KL.
<1%
September 27
$505 KL.
<1%
September 28
$379 KL.
21%
September 29
$379 KL.
1%
September 30
$505 KL.
1%
No release by September 30
$345 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,777Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$8,777Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader sentiment, with the 2.1-trillion-parameter model described as an across-the-board upgrade over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release and further trained on proprietary SpaceX engineering data. The tight clustering of probabilities around September 12–15 reflects uncertainty over exact rollout timing, consistent with xAI’s rapid cadence and occasional slippage in Musk timelines. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and OpenAI, plus expectations for strong real-world engineering benchmarks, reinforces the market’s near-certainty of a September launch while the slight edge for the 15th captures typical last-mile integration or staged-deployment buffers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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