Aaron Flint holds a 62% implied probability in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination with early backing from former President Trump and Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag prevailed in a competitive primary and gained national Democratic support through the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. A late August–early September Montana Free Press–Rutgers poll showed the race essentially tied at 42%–41% with a Libertarian candidate at 5%, underscoring the contest’s competitiveness in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Upcoming general-election developments through November 3 remain the key variables that could shift positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$11,260 KL.
$11,260 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
$11,260 KL.
$11,260 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
$6,189 KL.
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
$5,071 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a 62% implied probability in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination with early backing from former President Trump and Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag prevailed in a competitive primary and gained national Democratic support through the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. A late August–early September Montana Free Press–Rutgers poll showed the race essentially tied at 42%–41% with a Libertarian candidate at 5%, underscoring the contest’s competitiveness in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Upcoming general-election developments through November 3 remain the key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a 62% implied probability in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination with early backing from former President Trump and Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag prevailed in a competitive primary and gained national Democratic support through the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. A late August–early September Montana Free Press–Rutgers poll showed the race essentially tied at 42%–41% with a Libertarian candidate at 5%, underscoring the contest’s competitiveness in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Upcoming general-election developments through November 3 remain the key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint holds a 62% implied probability in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and the open-seat dynamics after incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination with early backing from former President Trump and Zinke, while Democrat Sam Forstag prevailed in a competitive primary and gained national Democratic support through the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. A late August–early September Montana Free Press–Rutgers poll showed the race essentially tied at 42%–41% with a Libertarian candidate at 5%, underscoring the contest’s competitiveness in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Upcoming general-election developments through November 3 remain the key variables that could shift positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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