Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s NDA coalition government as prime minister following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election not due until 2029. As of late October 2026, he remains actively engaged in official duties, including inaugurations, bilateral meetings, and domestic policy events, while the BJP maintains its parliamentary position without signs of internal revolt or coalition fracture. Opposition protests over electoral roll revisions and other issues have not translated into votes of no confidence or loss of majority support. Trader consensus at 96.5% against removal by year-end reflects these structural realities of incumbency and electoral timelines. Low-probability shifts could still arise from acute health events, sudden coalition defections, or unforeseen legal developments before December 31, 2026.
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