Meta’s recent surge, fueled by the viral launch of its Muse personal AI agent and follow-on announcements at Connect 2026, has lifted shares into the mid-$750 range and created a tight distribution of weekly closing probabilities. Traders are weighing strong early adoption metrics—hundreds of thousands of daily downloads—and new retail and enterprise connectors against elevated 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion and typical post-rally volatility. Analyst upgrades citing Muse’s potential to expand beyond advertising into agentic workflows support the upper ranges, while profit-taking and broader market rotation keep lower brackets competitive. With no major earnings or regulatory catalysts imminent before early October, sentiment hinges on sustained Muse engagement and any incremental hardware or partnership updates.