Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,456 KL.
$63,456 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,456 KL.
$63,456 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$28,228 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,456Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$63,456Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure representing Massachusetts' 2nd congressional district, combined with its strong Democratic lean and the absence of any Republican candidate on the November 2026 general election ballot, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. McGovern secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with near-unanimous support, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and multiple forecaster ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Fundraising and endorsements have further reinforced his position ahead of the general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or an unexpected late Republican filing, though none appear imminent based on available filings and campaign activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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