**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Tokyo on September 23, supporting the market's concentration on those outcomes.** Following heavy rainfall on September 21 that suppressed temperatures, northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime heating as a high-pressure system builds. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple ensemble runs show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with only light rain chances, keeping maximums near or slightly above seasonal normals of about 25°C. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s under persistent marine influence, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a spike toward 27°C or higher. Traders are pricing in this stable, modest range ahead of final verification from the Tokyo observation site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
25°C 37%
24°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
37%
26°C
19%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 37%
24°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
$5 KL.
3%
21°C
$44 KL.
3%
22°C
$5 KL.
10%
23°C
$96 KL.
14%
24°C
$0 KL.
25%
25°C
$9 KL.
37%
26°C
$6 KL.
19%
27°C
$40 KL.
7%
28°C
$17 KL.
8%
29°C
$55 KL.
4%
30°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Tokyo on September 23, supporting the market's concentration on those outcomes.** Following heavy rainfall on September 21 that suppressed temperatures, northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime heating as a high-pressure system builds. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple ensemble runs show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with only light rain chances, keeping maximums near or slightly above seasonal normals of about 25°C. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s under persistent marine influence, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a spike toward 27°C or higher. Traders are pricing in this stable, modest range ahead of final verification from the Tokyo observation site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$282Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Tokyo on September 23, supporting the market's concentration on those outcomes.** Following heavy rainfall on September 21 that suppressed temperatures, northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime heating as a high-pressure system builds. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple ensemble runs show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with only light rain chances, keeping maximums near or slightly above seasonal normals of about 25°C. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s under persistent marine influence, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a spike toward 27°C or higher. Traders are pricing in this stable, modest range ahead of final verification from the Tokyo observation site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$282Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Tokyo on September 23, supporting the market's concentration on those outcomes.** Following heavy rainfall on September 21 that suppressed temperatures, northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime heating as a high-pressure system builds. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple ensemble runs show overcast to mostly cloudy skies with only light rain chances, keeping maximums near or slightly above seasonal normals of about 25°C. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-20s under persistent marine influence, with limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a spike toward 27°C or higher. Traders are pricing in this stable, modest range ahead of final verification from the Tokyo observation site.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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