**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s daily high on September 21, 2026, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak temperature amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources (Met Office, Weather Atlas, local monitoring) converge on a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and 70–80% precipitation probability. Afternoon convection often develops by midday, driven by high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) and light southerly winds, which can either suppress insolation through cloud cover or briefly enhance mixing before storms arrive. This produces a narrow range where the exact timing and intensity of rainfall determine whether the peak reaches 30°C (stronger early storms), 31°C (baseline consensus), or 32°C (delayed or weaker convection allowing more solar heating). Historical September averages hover around 31–33°C, but daily variability is high due to the Intertropical Convergence Zone influence and rapid model spread in tropical soundings. Upcoming official updates from national meteorological services or refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
$8,945 KL.
$8,945 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
$8,945 KL.
$8,945 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Panama City’s daily high on September 21, 2026, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak temperature amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** Forecasts from multiple sources (Met Office, Weather Atlas, local monitoring) converge on a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and 70–80% precipitation probability. Afternoon convection often develops by midday, driven by high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) and light southerly winds, which can either suppress insolation through cloud cover or briefly enhance mixing before storms arrive. This produces a narrow range where the exact timing and intensity of rainfall determine whether the peak reaches 30°C (stronger early storms), 31°C (baseline consensus), or 32°C (delayed or weaker convection allowing more solar heating). Historical September averages hover around 31–33°C, but daily variability is high due to the Intertropical Convergence Zone influence and rapid model spread in tropical soundings. Upcoming official updates from national meteorological services or refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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