Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 15?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$36,222 KL.
$36,222 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$36,222 KL.
$36,222 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
31°C or below
$660 KL.
No
32°C
$549 KL.
No
33°C
$990 KL.
No
34°C
$2,678 KL.
No
35°C
$8,807 KL.
No
36°C
$8,393 KL.
Yes
37°C
$9,928 KL.
No
38°C
$2,731 KL.
No
39°C
$1,147 KL.
No
40°C
$138 KL.
No
41°C or higher
$201 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$36,222Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36,222Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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